Economics

 Industry Partners


Prairie Swine Centre is an affiliate of the University of Saskatchewan


Prairie Swine Centre is grateful for the assistance of the George Morris Centre in developing the economics portion of Pork Insight.

Financial support for the Enterprise Model Project and Pork Insight has been provided by:



Author(s): Dwight R Sanders; Philip Garcia; Mark R Manfredo
Publication Date: January 1, 2008
Reference: Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics; Apr 2008; 33, 1; ABI/INFORM Global pg. 87
Country: USA

Summary:

The informational content in live cattle and hog deferred futures prices is assessed using a direct test of incremental forecast ability for two to twelve month horizons. For 1976-2007, the results indicate that hog futures prices add incremental information at all horizons, but unique information in live cattle prices declines quickly beyond the eight-month horizon with no incremental information at the twelve month horizon. The contrast in performance is likely attributable to differences in the quality of public information and the nature of production process.

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