Economics

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Prairie Swine Centre is an affiliate of the University of Saskatchewan


Prairie Swine Centre is grateful for the assistance of the George Morris Centre in developing the economics portion of Pork Insight.

Financial support for the Enterprise Model Project and Pork Insight has been provided by:



Author(s): Thomas Vollrath and Charles Hallahan
Publication Date: January 1, 2006
Reference: Canadian Journal of Agricultural Economics 54 (2006) 55–79
Country: USA

Summary:

Price transmission is a critically important issue that affects market enlargement and the unification
of Canadian–U.S. agriculture. This study adopts alternative frameworks to examine the nature of
cross-border integration in selected meat and livestock markets. The aim is to determine the extent to
which selected meat and livestock markets transmit price signals across the international border using
time-series data through 2001. Typically, price-based studies examining market integration across
countries ignore important spatial and temporal factors affecting commodity price relationships such
as adjustments lags, changes in the value of national currencies, and policy-induced trade barriers.
Here, we account for such factors in our two model specifications. The first model is based upon the
law-of-one price (LOP) framework and focuses on spatial efficiency. The second analytical framework
is the vector autoregressive (VAR) model that highlights the dynamic notion of market connectedness.
The LOP analysis permits us to formally test the existence of perfect market integration and complete
market segmentation. The VAR analysis enables us to gauge price-shock transference. Empirical
evidence is generated confirming that the two national markets for whole chicken are segmented, a
not unsurprising finding given that poultry is a supply managed sector in Canada. The Canadian–U.S.
hog- and pork-product markets were found to be more integrated than the Canadian–U.S. steer- and
beef-product markets. Evidence is also provided showing that the Canadian–U.S. exchange rate inhibits
cross-border integration in these commodity markets.

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